Tag Archives: market trends

Housing Forecast for 2018

There’s nothing like a new year to pump enthusiasm into your life, so what do the experts say about the housing forecast?

Unemployment remains low: Despite tens of thousands of people losing their homes as well as businesses and hospitality services crippled due to the storms, the unemployment rate remains at a low 4.2 percent, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Buyers have the income to shop for homes.

New home construction lags 

Housing Forecast

demand: Due to costly governmental oversights, lack of skilled construction workers, and increased enforcement of undocumented workers, homebuilders are unable to meet demand for new homes, according to the U.S. Census. There’s currently five month’s worth of supplies at today’s rate of sales.

Millennials favor homeownership: Pew Research found that millennials are the largest living generation and are disproportionately renters compared with previous generations. As the generation matures (the oldest are at 34 years of age), seventy-two percent wish to become homeowners.

Demand is outpacing supply: According to Freddie Mac research, the hurricane season that hit the southern and eastern coastal areas, is exacerbating a market already short on homes, particularly in the affordable price ranges. Home prices are predicted to rise 4.9 percent.

Mortgage rates drop under four percent: Nationally, the average interest rates on conventional purchase-money mortgages decreased in the fall to less than four percent, reported the Federal Housing Finance Agency.

Market conditions suggest near-term winter and spring homebuying will remain brisk. You might be encouraged to buy before the summer rush!

St Simons Island Real Estate Market Update

Real Estate Market Update

Condominium Market Autumn 2017 Joe Wills BHHS Hodnett Cooper Real Estate

On the chart below you can see (in red) that average annual sales prices peaked in 2007 at $399,297 then fell 37% before bottoming at $250,855 in 2012. Sales units (in blue) peaked in 2003 with 324 condos sold and then began what would be a 78% decline over the next five years before crashing with only 70 condos sold in 2008. Today we are at 2003-04 average sales prices of $289,972.Sales of 316 units over the past year is 2½% below the historic peak of 2003.

There are 154 condos on the market today ranging in price from $137,500 to $2.495M; with a Median List Price of $329,990. Year over Year Sales Volume is up 6%, Average sales prices are up 2%. Demand exceeds Current Supply by 105%.

Real Estate Market Update

Single Family Home Market Autumn 2017 Joe Wills BHHS Hodnett Cooper Real Estate

On the chart below you can see that Average Sales Prices (in red) rose until 2006 at an average rate of 5% per year, peaking at $600,042 then falling 37% through 2012. Annual Sales (in blue) rose through 2004 then falling 75% over the next five years. We are at 2005 levels today for both Average Sales Price and Units Sales volume.

There are 268 houses on the market today ranging from $139,500 to $17.25M with a Median List Price of $675,000. Year over Year Sales Volume is up 9%, Average sales prices are up 14%. Demand exceeds Current Supply by 159%.

Real Estate Market Update

 

Market Update courtesy of Joe Wills, REALTOR at Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Hodnett Cooper Real Estate